Big Trouble with 5-year China?

China's latest five-year plan seems to be a big hit. What's more, the most recent growth slowdown is abating, the stock market is recovering, but my indicators are suggesting that, despite all of the glowing rhetoric, the economy is taking a step back in its path towards re-balancing growth towards the household sector. Five-year plan...

A modest proposal for the PBoC

The specter of currency wars and competitive devaluation is in the air. Evan Soltas recently penned a post at FT Alphaville addressing the issue of how petrostates can solve their fiscal woes. The answer was either fiscal austerity or devaluation. The Telegraph reported that the World Bank was urging Saudi Arabia to use its currency...

China turns Japanese?

I haven't written much about China lately, but I continue to get questions. So I thought that it was time to summarize my big picture thoughts on China here. Riding a motorcycle at 100mph without a helmet There is much to cover so I will just go through the highlights. There is no question that...