Welcome to Humble Student of the Markets, an investment blog with left and right brained analysis of the markets. Risk and return are multi-dimensional and market analysis should be too. See our philosophy at Teaching my readers how to fish. Useful links:
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Why I am bearish (and what would change my mind) May 2015
Relax, have a glass of wine August 2015
Why this is not the start of a bear market September 2015
The reason why the bulls should be cautious about a January hangover December 2015
Buy! Blood is in the Streets January 2016
Super Tuesday special: How President Trump could spark a market blow-off March 2016
How the S&P 500 can get to 2200 and beyond June 2016
Also see our past work on big picture macro analysis
Mario Draghi reveals the Grand Plan The eurozone Grand Plan for reforms – this has been the road map all along, ignore at your own peril
China turns Japanese? The long-term challenges to China’s growth outlook
Inequality and the genetic lottery: Two views How the Left is both right and wrong on inequality
More evidence of a low return outlook Elevated valuations are pressuring long-term returns
A new golden age of demographic growth Expect a demographic tailwind for stocks and real estate by the end of this decade
…on quantitative analysis
Examining your assumptions: The Fundamental Law of Active Management Using Grinold’s Law of Active Management in real life
The limitations of Altman Z Why the Altman Z-Score doesn’t work in all cases of solvency analysis