I have had a number of discussions with subscribers asking for more "how to" posts (see Teaching my readers how to fish). This will be one of a series of occasional posts on how to build a robust investment process. For traders and investors, one of the challenges is how to build a robust discipline...
Mid-week market update: Since the time I issued a correction warning in late December (see A correction on the horizon?), the US equity market has traded sideways in a narrow range. Moreover, the SPX has alternated between a seesaw up-and-down pattern since early January - until today. As the SPX breaks upwards to a new...
Now that the Trump team has moved into the West Wing of the White House, investors still one big Trump policy question mark that overhang the market. Who will Trump appoint to the two vacant governor seats at the Federal Reserve? CNBC reported that David Nason is a leading contender for a board seat, but...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The...
About a month ago (see The bear case: How Trumponomics keeps me awake at night), I highlighted a Bloomberg interview with BAML currency strategist David Woo. Woo pointed that there is an inherent contradiction in a couple of Trump's policies. His fiscal policy of tax cuts is pro-growth and therefore USD bullish, but his "America...
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