Mid-week market update: As the stock market rebounded from a deeply oversold condition last week, a consensus is building that this is a bear market rally, and I am in that camp. A Google Trends search for "bear market rally" has spike to all-time highs. The contrarian conclusions are either the rally will...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Now that the S&P 500 has started to turn up after bouncing off a head & shoulders downside target. Green shoots are starting to appear for the bulls, is it time for investors to buy stocks and bottom fish? Rising recession fears Let's begin with why the market weakened. Recession fears were...
Mid-week market update: After weeks of documenting how oversold and washed out the stock market is, the S&P 500 staged a marginal upside breakout through a falling channel while exhibiting a series of positive 5-day RSI divergences. Equally constructive is the behavior of net new highs, which turned positive today. Have the bulls...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Our site uses cookies and other technologies so that we, and our partners, can remember you and tailor your user experience on our site. See our disclaimer page on our privacy policy, how we manage cookies, and how to opt out. Further use of this site will be considered consent.
