Mid-week market update: I am publishing this note slightly early today as I have an appointment just after the market close and the prices on the charts will not be today's closing prices. As the S&P 500 struggles with overhead resistance, I would like to offer some words of warning for equity bulls. The VIX...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
The International Monetary Fund published its latest World Economic Outlook. It cut its global GDP growth estimate by 0.1% from 2.9% in January to 2.8%. More ominously, it issued a warning about a growing risk of recession in the advanced economies from financial instability risk from bank failures: “A hard landing — particularly for advanced...
Mid-week market update: The S&P 500 roared out of the gate this morning on a slightly softer than expected CPI print. Robin Brooks observed that super-core CPI (core services ex-housing and healthcare, light blue bars) have been decelerating. Unfortunately for equity bulls, the gains faded over the course of the day. Callie...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Our site uses cookies and other technologies so that we, and our partners, can remember you and tailor your user experience on our site. See our disclaimer page on our privacy policy, how we manage cookies, and how to opt out. Further use of this site will be considered consent.
