Rip the bandaid off now or later?

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade.  ...

Outside-the-box risk control = Better returns

After last week's wild market swings, it's time to have a sober discussion about risk control. I know that risk control isn't a sexy topic, but better portfolio risk control can lead to better overall returns.     The framework of analysis will not be the conventional description of risk as it is stylistically shown...

Opportunities from shorts (GME is so last week)

Is this GameStop's "shoeshine boy" moment? Tracy Alloway pointed out that GME had made it to dog Instagram.      If dog Instagram wasn't enough of a shoeshine boy moment, how about this Michael Bathnick observation?     Regardless, there are a number of other opportunities in the short squeeze space to consider (other than...

How to spot the correction low

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade.  ...