Mid-week market update: The Santa Claus rally, which begins just after Christmas and ends on the second day of the new year, began with a bang. The S&P 500 surged 1.4% on Monday to kick off the Santa rally and managed to make another marginal closing high today. The bullish impulse has been relentless. ...
The year 2021 is nearly complete and it's time to issue a report card for my three investment models. Going in order of short to long time horizons, these are: The Trading Model; Trend Asset Allocation Model; and The Ultimate Market Timing Model. All showed strong results. The Trading Model The weakest result...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Mid-week market update: I am publishing this note one day early ahead of my holiday hiatus. Regular service will return Sunday with a trading note. In the Dr. Seuss children's story, "How the Grinch Stole Christmas", the Grinch is a grouchy character who conspired to steal all the Christmas presents from the nearby village....
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
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