A focus on growth

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The...

The ways your trading model could lead you astray

I have had a number of discussions with subscribers asking for more "how to" posts (see Teaching my readers how to fish). This will be one of a series of occasional posts on how to build a robust investment process. For traders and investors, one of the challenges is how to build a robust discipline...

Global market rally = Dow 20K

Mid-week market update: Since the time I issued a correction warning in late December (see A correction on the horizon?), the US equity market has traded sideways in a narrow range. Moreover, the SPX has alternated between a seesaw up-and-down pattern since early January - until today. As the SPX breaks upwards to a new...

Could “animal spirits” spark a market blow-off?

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The...