Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. ...
Now that virtually everybody has bought into the reflation and global cyclical recovery trade, and Reddit flash mobs are ganging up on short sellers to drive the most short-sold stocks into the stratosphere, what could go wrong with this bull? Notwithstanding the silliness of the WSB flash mobs, here are some key bearish...
Mid-week market update: What are we make of this market? In the last four years, the weekly S&P 500 chart shows that we have seen six corrective episodes of differing magnitudes. Risk happens, and sometimes with little or no warning. About half of those instances saw negative 5-week RSI divergences, which we are...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. ...
What would the legendary market analyst Bob Farrell say about today's markets? I was reviewing the patterns of factor returns recently, and I was reminded of three of Farrell's 10 Rules of Investing (which are presented slightly out of order). Rule 3: There are no new eras – excesses are never permanent. Rule 2: Excesses in...
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