Mid-week market update: Will the S&P 500 hold support or will it break? The index is once again testing the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern while exhibiting a minor positive RSI divergence. Here are the bull and bear cases. Sentimental bulls Short-term sentiment models look stretched to the...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Four weeks ago, I suggested that investors buy to the sound of cannons. Now that the cannons have sounded, is that still a good idea? Yes, but there's a catch. A detailed list of past crises from Ed Clissold of Ned Davis Research reveals that stock prices usually rebound strongly after sudden shocks such...
Mid-week market update: Trying to spot a bottom here is like trying to catch a falling knife - and at a time of war. Here is what I am watching in order to navigate the turmoil. It's official. We are entering the Biden administration's "trade talks are going very well with China" phase of...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
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