One of these cyclical indicators is not like the others. While many cyclical industries are in relative uptrends, which is a technical signal of economic expansion, the 2s10s yield curve is deeply inverted and shows few signs of steepening. This is one of those occasions when the stock market and bond markets disagree. ...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
It was the best of times. It was the worst of times. The S&P 500 (SPX) remains in a well-defined uptrend, but the NASDAQ 100 (NDX), which represents large-cap growth, violated an uptrend that stretches back to the GFC. The relative performance of the NASDAQ 100 to the S&P 500 shows a similar trend break...
Mid-week market update: As the S&P 500 consolidates just below its 50 dma, here are some considerations that make me constructive on the stock market. The index is exhibiting an oversold condition on the percentage of stocks above their 20 dma and a minor positive divergence on the 5-day Bullish factors The...
I don't comment about individual stocks very often, but I came upon this chart. It has been steadily rising for the last few years and it has been quietly beating its sector peers. Could this be the next Amazon or Apple? Relative strength study My conclusion is based on a study I...
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