Trading the seasonal weakness

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade.   The Trend...

Sector leadership review: Bear market vibes?

Now that the 2s10s yield curve has un-inverted, a review of sector leadership is showing bearish vibes. In particular, the relative performance of defensive sectors is turning up.     I conducted an extensive sector and factor rotation review to determine the extent of the damage.     Bearish vibes For the purposes of analyzing...