Mid-week market update: Four weeks ago, I published NVIDIA at the bat, in which I discussed the market expectations for leading AI stock NVIDIA ahead of its earnings report. NVIDIA came out with a strong report that exceeded Street expectations, and the stock reacted with a price gap the following day. Fast forward...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
Well-known value investor Jeremy Grantham recently penned an essay titled, “The Great Paradox of the U.S. Market”, in which he warned, “Prices reflect near perfection yet today’s world is particularly imperfect and dangerous”. In particular, he sounded the alarm over the bubble in AI stocks and cited the Gartner Hype Cycle as the main...
Mid-week market update: Marketwatch recently highlighted analysis from NDR which concluded that sentiment was extended and while it may make sense to be cautious about adding risk, it's too early to turn tactically bearish until readings recycle from an overbought condition. I agree. I've been saying the same thing for several weeks. A...
Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend...
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