Mid-week market update: Volatility indexes are flashing a number of signals of interest. In the past few weeks, a yawning gap has opened out between MOVE, which measures bond volatility, and VIX, which measures equity volatility. The divergence has begun to close in the last couple of days as the VIX has risen and the...
As the CRB Index decisively broke out to a new recovery high while breaking through both a horizontal resistance level and a falling downtrend that began in 2008, a divergence is appearing between crude oil and gold. The oil to gold ratio has strengthened to test a falling trend line. This test of...
I received considerable feedback from last week's publication (see How to outperform by 50-250% over 2-3 years), mostly related to gold and energy stocks. In last week's analysis, I had lumped these groups in with other cyclicals. Examining them further, I conclude that both gold and energy stocks have bright futures over the next...
The stars seem to be aligning for a revival in gold prices. Prices saw a nice bounce today as equities weakened. The trends in other asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and the US Dollar, look very stretched in the short-term and poised to reverse. From an inter-market analyst viewpoint, gold also seems to be...